UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cummins vs Smalls

1,787

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cummins

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
94% chance Cummins
WILL WIN

1,301

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Patrick Cummins
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 6.1 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 189 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Willie Smalls
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Cummins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smalls’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patrick
Cummins
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cummins has a very good chance of winning by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Poor
Resistance
Decision
Cummins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smalls on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Willie
Smalls
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smalls is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smalls is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smalls is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cummins 7.9
fighter Smalls 6.3
Great knockouts by Cummins
Round 3 Aug 01, 2015 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Pulu
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brown

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cummins 7.3
fighter Smalls 6.4
Great submissions by Cummins
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Smalls
Round 1 Jan 21, 2012 vs Edwards

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cummins 8.0
fighter Smalls 6.5
Fast finishes by Cummins
67 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Pulu
241 seconds Jan 21, 2012 vs Edwards
164 seconds Dec 04, 2010 vs Brown
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,6481,335
1,6621,321
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cummins
legend Smalls
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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