UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio de Lima vs St. Preux

1,864

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio de Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Rogerio de Lima
Significant Strikes48
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Rogerio de Lima's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Rogerio de Lima's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rogerio de Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcos
Rogerio de Lima
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Rogerio de Lima St. Preux
Significant Strikes41
Rogerio de Lima's average striking offense is matched by St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rogerio de Lima's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio de Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio de Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio de Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.5
Great striking by St. Preux
6 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
47 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Villante
82 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.6
Great knockouts by Rogerio de Lima
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Luiz da Silva
Round 2 Jun 30, 2010 vs Nascimento Lucio
Round 1 Mar 14, 2009 vs Gumz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Rogerio de Lima 6.8
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Rogerio de Lima 8.5
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Rogerio de Lima
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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