UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fernandes vs Faber

2,129

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Bibiano Fernandes
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fernandes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 11:28, how much damage will he do? Faber Fernandes
Significant Strikes50
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Fernandes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fernandes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fernandes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bibiano
Fernandes
In 11:28, how much damage will he do? Fernandes Faber
Significant Strikes40
Fernandes's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Fernandes's excellent takedown offense will dominate Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fernandes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fernandes is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fernandes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Fernandes 8.6
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Fernandes 9.3
Great takedowns by Fernandes
1 takedown Dec 31, 2011 vs Marques
6 takedowns Mar 22, 2010 vs Hansen
4 takedowns May 26, 2009 vs Imanari

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Fernandes 6.8
Great knockouts by Faber
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Wilson
Round 2 Mar 17, 2006 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Aug 19, 2004 vs Hawkins

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Fernandes 7.8
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Fernandes 8.1
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 28, 2006KOTC - All Stars
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR3 KO
1,5511,985
1,5431,992
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Fernandes
Read More
Fernandes vs Aldo
Fantasy Cage Match
Faber vs Rousey
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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