UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Martins vs Khabilov

2,045

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Martins

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Martins
WILL WIN

2,000

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Adriano Martins
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Rustam Khabilov
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Martins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Khabilov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Adriano
Martins
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Martins Khabilov
Significant Strikes38
Martins's average striking offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Martins's average takedown offense is matched by Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Martins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Martins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Martins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Khabilov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Martins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rustam
Khabilov
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Khabilov Martins
Significant Strikes46
Khabilov's average striking offense is matched by Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Khabilov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Khabilov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Khabilov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Khabilov is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Martins 8.3
fighter Khabilov 8.4
Great striking by Khabilov
32 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
3 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
13 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Martins 8.4
fighter Khabilov 9.0
Great takedowns by Khabilov
2 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
1 takedown Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
5 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Martins 8.6
fighter Khabilov 7.6
Great knockouts by Martins
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Gomes
Round 1 Apr 02, 2011 vs Assuncao
Round 1 Oct 13, 2007 vs Addario Bastos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Martins 7.0
fighter Khabilov 7.0
Great submissions by Khabilov
Round 1 May 07, 2010 vs Balakhonov
Round 1 Apr 19, 2009 vs Papusha
Round 2 Aug 03, 2007 vs Abasov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Martins 8.7
fighter Khabilov 8.1
Fast finishes by Martins
469 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Cruickshank
81 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Gomes
264 seconds Oct 13, 2007 vs Addario Bastos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 22, 2015UFC Fight Night 61
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Martins
legend Khabilov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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