UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Martins vs Cerrone

2,045

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Adriano Martins
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Martins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 10:39, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Martins
Significant Strikes61
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Martins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Adriano
Martins
In 10:39, how much damage will he do? Martins Cerrone
Significant Strikes49
Martins's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Martins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Martins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Martins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Martins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Martins 8.3
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Martins 8.4
Great takedowns by Martins
1 takedown Nov 09, 2013 vs Cruickshank

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Martins 8.6
Great knockouts by Martins
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Gomes
Round 1 Apr 02, 2011 vs Assuncao
Round 1 Oct 13, 2007 vs Addario Bastos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Martins 7.0
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Martins 8.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2014UFC on Fox 10
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
2,0682,065
2,0182,116
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Martins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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