UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lo-A-Njoe vs Aoki

1,506

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.2 More than 60% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 7.6 Around 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.6 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Brian Lo-A-Njoe
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.1 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lo-A-Njoe’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 2:26, how much damage will he do? Aoki Lo-A-Njoe
Significant Strikes5
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Lo-A-Njoe's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:26
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lo-A-Njoe's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:26
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lo-A-Njoe on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Lo-A-Njoe
In 2:26, how much damage will he do? Lo-A-Njoe Aoki
Significant Strikes4
Lo-A-Njoe's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:26
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Lo-A-Njoe's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lo-A-Njoe is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lo-A-Njoe is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lo-A-Njoe is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter Lo-A-Njoe 8.5
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Lo-A-Njoe 7.4
Great knockouts by Lo-A-Njoe
Round 0 Dec 26, 2007 vs Diego
Round 0 Aug 26, 2007 vs Melo
Round 1 Oct 01, 2006 vs Buckler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Lo-A-Njoe 6.2
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Lo-A-Njoe 7.8
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 8, 2007Pride 34
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5312,032
1,5262,037
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Lo-A-Njoe
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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