UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Casteel vs Elliott

1,231

CageRank

WINNER
Elliott

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Elliott
WILL WIN

1,773

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Timothy Elliott
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 5.9 More than 40% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.6 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Michael Casteel
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Elliott on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Casteel’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timothy
Elliott
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elliott has a chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Elliott has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Elliott is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Casteel on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elliott’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Casteel
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Casteel is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Casteel is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Casteel is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Elliott 7.2
fighter Casteel 6.4
Great knockouts by Elliott
Round 2 Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
Round 1 Feb 26, 2011 vs McDowell
Round 1 Dec 11, 2009 vs Veloquio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Elliott 7.3
fighter Casteel 6.2
Great submissions by Elliott
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
Round 3 Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Round 1 Apr 02, 2010 vs Casteel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Elliott 7.7
fighter Casteel 6.5
Fast finishes by Elliott
28 seconds Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
432 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
754 seconds Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,4281,451
1,3821,498
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Elliott
legend Casteel
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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