UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Scoggins vs Vaculik

1,836

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Scoggins

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Scoggins
WILL WIN

1,811

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Scoggins
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 26 years vs 35 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Richie Vaculik
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 4 fights 25% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Scoggins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vaculik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Scoggins
In 10:46, how much damage will he do? Scoggins Vaculik
Significant Strikes55
Scoggins's average striking offense is matched by Vaculik's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:46
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Scoggins's good takedown offense may be a factor against Vaculik's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:46
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Scoggins has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Scoggins is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Scoggins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vaculik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Scoggins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Richie
Vaculik
In 10:46, how much damage will he do? Vaculik Scoggins
Significant Strikes37
Vaculik's average striking offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:46
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Vaculik's average takedown offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vaculik is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Vaculik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vaculik is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Scoggins 8.5
fighter Vaculik 8.2
Great striking by Scoggins
27 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Scoggins 8.8
fighter Vaculik 8.3
Great takedowns by Scoggins
2 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Scoggins 8.5
fighter Vaculik 7.2
Great knockouts by Scoggins
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
Round 1 Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
Round 5 Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Scoggins 6.6
fighter Vaculik 8.0
Great submissions by Vaculik
Round 1 Feb 24, 2012 vs Honstein
Round 1 Sep 03, 2011 vs Wong
Round 1 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mortimer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Scoggins 8.0
fighter Vaculik 8.2
Fast finishes by Vaculik
158 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Jaggers
96 seconds Feb 24, 2012 vs Honstein
203 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mortimer
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,7741,828
1,8321,770
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Scoggins
legend Vaculik
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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