UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Graves vs Luque

1,751

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Graves

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Graves
WILL WIN

1,728

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Graves
Significantly heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Vicente Luque
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Graves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Luque’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Graves
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Graves is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Graves has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Graves is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Luque on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Graves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vicente
Luque
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Luque is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Luque is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Luque is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Graves 8.0
fighter Luque 7.3
Great knockouts by Graves
Round 1 Jun 21, 2013 vs Finz
Round 1 Feb 15, 2013 vs Ryske
Round 1 Sep 18, 2010 vs Prusinowski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Graves 6.9
fighter Luque 7.3
Great submissions by Luque
Round 2 Mar 09, 2013 vs Moura
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Almeida
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Borges dos Santos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Graves 8.2
fighter Luque 7.9
Fast finishes by Graves
108 seconds Feb 15, 2013 vs Ryske
96 seconds Sep 18, 2010 vs Prusinowski
372 seconds Apr 03, 2010 vs Wesley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2015TUF 21 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Graves
legend Luque
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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