UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Felipe vs Carneiro

1,741

CageRank

WINNER
Carneiro

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Carneiro
WILL WIN

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renato Carneiro
Much heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly younger 27 years vs 36 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Eduardo Felipe
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Carneiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Felipe’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Carneiro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carneiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carneiro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carneiro has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Felipe on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carneiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eduardo
Felipe
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Felipe is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Felipe has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Felipe is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carneiro 8.3
fighter Felipe 8.0
Great submissions by Carneiro
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Chaulet
Round 2 Dec 18, 2010 vs Felipe
Round 3 Mar 20, 2010 vs Almeida

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carneiro 7.7
fighter Felipe 7.4
Fast finishes by Carneiro
473 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Chaulet
469 seconds Dec 18, 2010 vs Felipe
716 seconds Mar 20, 2010 vs Almeida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 18, 2010JF - Jungle Fight 24
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,8071,650
1,7351,721
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carneiro
legend Felipe
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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