UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hornbuckle vs Shaw

1,813

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hornbuckle

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Hornbuckle
WILL WIN

1,560

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dan Hornbuckle
Much better submission defense 9.1 vs 7.1 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 36 years vs 40 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Matt Shaw
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Hornbuckle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Hornbuckle
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hornbuckle is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hornbuckle has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Hornbuckle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hornbuckle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Shaw
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shaw is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shaw is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hornbuckle 7.4
fighter Shaw 6.5
Great knockouts by Hornbuckle
Round 2 Sep 23, 2009 vs Thompson
Round 3 Aug 02, 2009 vs Gono
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hornbuckle 7.7
fighter Shaw 7.3
Great submissions by Hornbuckle
Round 1 May 20, 2010 vs Carl
Round 1 Apr 22, 2010 vs Stinson
Round 1 Mar 29, 2008 vs Buckland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hornbuckle 8.1
fighter Shaw 7.8
Fast finishes by Hornbuckle
151 seconds May 20, 2010 vs Carl
390 seconds Sep 23, 2009 vs Thompson
770 seconds Aug 02, 2009 vs Gono
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 28, 2007TFC 8
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,8091,757
1,8511,714
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hornbuckle
legend Shaw
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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