UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hornbuckle vs Carl

1,813

CageRank

WINNER
Carl

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Carl
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Dan Hornbuckle
Significantly heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hornbuckle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Hornbuckle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Hornbuckle
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hornbuckle is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hornbuckle is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hornbuckle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carl 6.5
fighter Hornbuckle 7.4
Great knockouts by Hornbuckle
Round 2 Sep 23, 2009 vs Thompson
Round 3 Aug 02, 2009 vs Gono
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carl 9.5
fighter Hornbuckle 7.7
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carl 9.2
fighter Hornbuckle 8.1
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 20, 2010Bellator 19
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,0571,927
2,0891,895
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carl
legend Hornbuckle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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