UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fontes Braga vs Griffin

1,664

CageRank

WINNER
Griffin

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Griffin
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Forrest Griffin
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 198 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 38 years vs 48 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Ebenezer Fontes Braga
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fontes Braga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Griffin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Griffin Fontes Braga
Significant Strikes77
Griffin's excellent striking offense will dominate Fontes Braga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Griffin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fontes Braga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fontes Braga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ebenezer
Fontes Braga
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fontes Braga Griffin
Significant Strikes59
Fontes Braga's average striking offense is matched by Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Fontes Braga's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Griffin 9.2
fighter Fontes Braga 8.3
Great striking by Griffin
50 strikes Feb 05, 2011 vs Franklin
77 strikes Jul 05, 2008 vs Jackson
66 strikes Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Griffin 7.7
fighter Fontes Braga 7.9
Great takedowns by Fontes Braga
1 takedown Oct 16, 1998 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Griffin 6.7
fighter Fontes Braga 6.1
Great knockouts by Griffin
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Sinosic
Round 1 Dec 18, 2003 vs Ramos
Round 1 Oct 26, 2002 vs Fulton

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Griffin 7.8
fighter Fontes Braga 7.2
Great submissions by Griffin
Round 3 Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua
Round 1 Jun 04, 2005 vs Mahood
Round 1 Jul 31, 2003 vs Fontes Braga

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Griffin 7.8
fighter Fontes Braga 7.5
Fast finishes by Griffin
885 seconds Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua
138 seconds Jun 04, 2005 vs Mahood
300 seconds Oct 26, 2002 vs Fulton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 31, 2003Heat FC 1 - Genesis
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XSUB
1,6961,870
1,6691,897
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Griffin
legend Fontes Braga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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