UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Birdsley vs Assuncao

1,517

CageRank

WINNER
Assuncao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance Assuncao
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for James Birdsley
A lot taller 178 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Birdsley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Birdsley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Birdsley
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Birdsley is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Birdsley is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Birdsley is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Assuncao 6.9
fighter Birdsley 6.6
Great knockouts by Assuncao
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
Round 1 Nov 08, 2008 vs Pearson
Round 1 Jan 23, 2004 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Assuncao 7.7
fighter Birdsley 7.5
Great submissions by Assuncao
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Lee
Round 3 Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
Round 2 Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Assuncao 7.8
fighter Birdsley 7.4
Fast finishes by Assuncao
325 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
702 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
577 seconds Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 14, 2006CFC - Border Warz
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,9221,823
1,8581,887
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Assuncao
legend Birdsley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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