UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gauthier vs Poirier

1,528

CageRank

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Derek Gauthier
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gauthier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Poirier has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Gauthier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Gauthier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gauthier is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gauthier is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gauthier is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Gauthier 7.2
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Gauthier 7.3
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Gauthier 7.5
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 SUB
1,6931,802
1,6581,837
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Gauthier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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