UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mitchell vs Nelson

1,730

CageRank

WINNER
Nelson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Nelson
WILL WIN

2,061

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gunnar Nelson
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Danny Mitchell
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitchell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gunnar
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mitchell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Danny
Mitchell
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitchell is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mitchell has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitchell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nelson 7.1
fighter Mitchell 6.9
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Mascarenhas
Round 1 Dec 09, 2007 vs Mairs
Round 1 Oct 06, 2007 vs Slawinski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nelson 9.4
fighter Mitchell 8.0
Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 Feb 25, 2012 vs Butenko
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Fadiora
Round 1 Aug 28, 2010 vs Mitchell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nelson 9.0
fighter Mitchell 7.8
Fast finishes by Nelson
261 seconds Feb 25, 2012 vs Butenko
231 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Fadiora
171 seconds Aug 28, 2010 vs Mitchell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,7451,734
1,6941,785
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nelson
legend Mitchell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus