UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stiner vs Morgan

1,392

CageRank

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Significantly better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 36 years vs 41 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.2 vs 6.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Roger Stiner
Heavier 194 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stiner’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Stiner on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roger
Stiner
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stiner is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Stiner is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Stiner is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Morgan 6.2
fighter Stiner 6.1
Great knockouts by Morgan
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Jul 05, 2002 vs Henery
Round 2 Jul 15, 2001 vs Pond

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Stiner 7.1
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Stiner 7.0
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 9, 2001UW - Caged Fights
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,4851,544
1,4431,585
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Stiner
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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