UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mercurio vs Baesman

1,489

CageRank

WINNER
Baesman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Baesman
WILL WIN

1,818

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Baesman
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for John Mercurio
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Baesman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mercurio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Baesman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baesman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Baesman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Baesman has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mercurio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baesman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Mercurio
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mercurio is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mercurio is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mercurio is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Baesman 7.2
fighter Mercurio 7.0
Great knockouts by Baesman
Round 1 Dec 11, 2011 vs Morris
Round 2 Mar 19, 2011 vs Montgomery
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Bledsoe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Baesman 6.8
fighter Mercurio 6.5
Great submissions by Baesman
Round 2 May 03, 2013 vs Venikov
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Canez
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Neeley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Baesman 7.4
fighter Mercurio 7.4
Fast finishes by Mercurio
47 seconds Dec 22, 2012 vs Buchanan
62 seconds May 19, 2011 vs Bell
33 seconds Jun 06, 2009 vs Gagnon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2014Bellator 127
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Baesman
legend Mercurio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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