UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Baker vs Lima

1,969

CageRank

WINNER
Lima

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Lima
WILL WIN

2,205

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Douglas Lima
Much heavier hands 9.6 vs 8.0 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Bryan Baker
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Douglas
Lima
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lima has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Baker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Baker
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baker is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baker is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baker is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lima 9.6
fighter Baker 8.0
Great knockouts by Lima
Round 2 Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lima 7.5
fighter Baker 6.9
Great submissions by Lima
Round 3 Nov 12, 2010 vs Juarez
Round 2 Sep 10, 2010 vs Ford
Round 1 Jul 14, 2007 vs Nuno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lima 8.9
fighter Baker 8.0
Fast finishes by Lima
573 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
154 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
381 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 21, 2013Bellator 90
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
2,0082,084
1,9692,123
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lima
legend Baker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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