UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Santos vs Jotko

2,004

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Santos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Santos
WILL WIN

1,914

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bruno Santos
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Krzysztof Jotko
Much taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jotko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bruno
Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Santos Jotko
Significant Strikes54
Santos's average striking offense is matched by Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Santos's average takedown offense is matched by Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Santos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jotko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Krzysztof
Jotko
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jotko Santos
Significant Strikes57
Jotko's average striking offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Jotko's average takedown offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jotko is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jotko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jotko has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Santos 8.2
fighter Jotko 8.2
Great striking by Jotko
17 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Santos

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Santos 6.8
fighter Jotko 7.1
Great knockouts by Jotko
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Slepowronski
Round 1 Feb 26, 2011 vs Ilyasov
Round 2 Feb 26, 2011 vs Truszewski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Santos 6.6
fighter Jotko 6.8
Great submissions by Jotko
Round 2 Sep 08, 2012 vs Loewke
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Kondraciuk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Santos 7.0
fighter Jotko 7.3
Fast finishes by Jotko
372 seconds Sep 08, 2012 vs Loewke
548 seconds Feb 04, 2012 vs Kondraciuk
249 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Slepowronski
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
2,0241,918
1,9591,983
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Santos
legend Jotko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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