UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rumsey vs Williams

1,685

CageRank

WINNER
Williams

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Williams
WILL WIN

1,817

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Williams
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Lewis Rumsey
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Williams on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rumsey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Williams
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Williams is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Williams has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Williams is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rumsey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Williams’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lewis
Rumsey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rumsey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rumsey is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rumsey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Williams 7.3
fighter Rumsey 7.6
Great knockouts by Rumsey
Round 1 Nov 25, 2011 vs Owens
Round 3 Sep 30, 2011 vs Murray
Round 2 Feb 19, 2011 vs Bookwalter

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Williams 8.5
fighter Rumsey 6.7
Great submissions by Williams
Round 3 Jun 22, 2013 vs Faunce
Round 1 Jun 30, 2012 vs Rumsey
Round 1 Jun 11, 2010 vs Howard

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Williams 8.0
fighter Rumsey 7.5
Fast finishes by Williams
700 seconds Jun 22, 2013 vs Faunce
185 seconds Jun 30, 2012 vs Rumsey
616 seconds Apr 16, 2011 vs Gusmao
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 30, 2012CFFC 15
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,6601,811
1,6311,841
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Williams
legend Rumsey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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