UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ricci vs Herrera

1,780

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ricci

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Ricci
WILL WIN

1,642

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alessandro Ricci
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Alvaro Herrera
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 27 years vs 34 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Ricci on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herrera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alessandro
Ricci
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ricci has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ricci is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ricci is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Herrera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ricci’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alvaro
Herrera
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herrera is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herrera is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Herrera is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ricci 7.7
fighter Herrera 6.8
Great knockouts by Ricci
Round 1 Mar 16, 2012 vs Hadin
Round 2 Oct 14, 2011 vs Smith
Round 2 Jun 10, 2011 vs Sledzion

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ricci 6.6
fighter Herrera 7.2
Great submissions by Herrera
Round 1 Aug 30, 2012 vs Campos Negrete
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Alamilla
Round 2 Jun 03, 2010 vs Gonzalez Guerra

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ricci 7.4
fighter Herrera 7.7
Fast finishes by Herrera
418 seconds Jun 03, 2010 vs Gonzalez Guerra
107 seconds Mar 28, 2010 vs Laguna
376 seconds Nov 26, 2008 vs Ortega
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ricci
legend Herrera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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