UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carl vs Steele

2,047

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Carl

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Carl
WILL WIN

1,806

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Tyson Steele
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Steele’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Carl is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Steele on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Steele
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Steele is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Steele has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Steele is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carl 6.5
fighter Steele 7.0
Great knockouts by Steele
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Gracie
Round 1 Feb 23, 2008 vs Douds

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carl 9.5
fighter Steele 8.0
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carl 9.2
fighter Steele 8.4
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 14, 2013WSOF 3
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
2,0241,830
2,0491,805
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carl
legend Steele
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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