UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Samman vs Boetsch

1,823

CageRank

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Josh Samman
Much longer reach 201 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Samman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Samman
Significant Strikes71
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Samman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Samman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Samman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Samman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Samman Boetsch
Significant Strikes69
Samman's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Samman's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Samman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Samman is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Samman is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Samman 8.5
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Samman 8.1
Great knockouts by Samman
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Casey
Round 1 Jan 23, 2010 vs Cope
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs McMahon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Samman 7.3
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Samman 8.3
Fast finishes by Samman
437 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Casey
217 seconds Feb 10, 2012 vs Gomez
143 seconds Oct 03, 2009 vs McMahon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 13, 2016UFC Fight Night 91
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Samman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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