UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kerpe vs Daley

1,370

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.2 More than 40% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 6.8 Around 40% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.7 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.3 vs 5.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Aurelijus Kerpe
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 170 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kerpe’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 5:03, how much damage will he do? Daley Kerpe
Significant Strikes29
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Kerpe's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 46 Significant Strikes in 5:03
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kerpe's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kerpe on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aurelijus
Kerpe
In 5:03, how much damage will he do? Kerpe Daley
Significant Strikes19
Kerpe's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 46 Significant Strikes in 5:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kerpe's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kerpe is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kerpe is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kerpe is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Kerpe 8.3
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Kerpe 6.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Kerpe 6.0
Great submissions by Daley
Round 3 Jul 18, 2010 vs Acacio
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Kerpe 6.2
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,6241,935
1,6101,949
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Kerpe
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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