UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Karaoglu vs Blachowicz

1,642

CageRank

WINNER
Blachowicz

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Blachowicz
WILL WIN

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jan Blachowicz
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Aziz Karaoglu
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Blachowicz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Karaoglu’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jan
Blachowicz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Blachowicz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Blachowicz has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Blachowicz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Karaoglu on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Blachowicz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aziz
Karaoglu
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Karaoglu has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Karaoglu is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Karaoglu is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Blachowicz 7.2
fighter Karaoglu 8.2
Great knockouts by Karaoglu
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Strus
Round 1 May 09, 2008 vs Nobrega
Round 1 Sep 04, 2005 vs Rice

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Blachowicz 8.0
fighter Karaoglu 6.5
Great submissions by Blachowicz
Round 2 May 21, 2011 vs Valtonen
Round 2 Dec 12, 2008 vs Perak
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs M'Pumbu

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Blachowicz 8.1
fighter Karaoglu 8.2
Fast finishes by Karaoglu
137 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Strus
90 seconds May 09, 2008 vs Nobrega
300 seconds Nov 11, 2006 vs Owonyebe
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 9, 2008KSW 9
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,6311,679
1,5871,722
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Blachowicz
legend Karaoglu
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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