UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Paes vs Holm

1,521

CageRank

WINNER
Holm

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Holm
WILL WIN

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Holly Holm
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 6.9 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Erica Paes
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Holm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Paes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Holly
Holm
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holm has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holm is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holm has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Paes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Erica
Paes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Paes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Paes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Paes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holm 9.0
fighter Paes 6.9
Great knockouts by Holm
Round 2 Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
Round 3 Sep 09, 2011 vs Finney
Round 2 Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holm 6.6
fighter Paes 7.6
Great submissions by Paes
Round 1 Mar 26, 2015 vs Gomes
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Maciel
Round 1 May 17, 2005 vs Justino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holm 7.5
fighter Paes 7.5
Fast finishes by Paes
243 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Maciel
106 seconds May 17, 2005 vs Justino
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holm
legend Paes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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