UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Morono vs Nakamura

1,620

CageRank

WINNER
Nakamura

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Nakamura
WILL WIN

1,908

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Keita Nakamura
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Alex Morono
Younger 27 years vs 33 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Nakamura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morono’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keita
Nakamura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakamura has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nakamura has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nakamura has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Morono on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakamura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Morono
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morono is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morono is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morono is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nakamura 7.2
fighter Morono 6.7
Great knockouts by Nakamura
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Kim
Round 2 Jun 20, 2010 vs de la Cruz
Round 1 Nov 11, 2007 vs Hanai

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nakamura 8.1
fighter Morono 7.3
Great submissions by Nakamura
Round 1 Dec 24, 2012 vs Suzuki
Round 2 Dec 30, 2010 vs Enomoto
Round 1 Oct 30, 2010 vs Wada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nakamura 8.4
fighter Morono 7.6
Fast finishes by Nakamura
129 seconds Dec 24, 2012 vs Suzuki
210 seconds Oct 30, 2010 vs Wada
118 seconds Apr 29, 2006 vs Jae Jun
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nakamura
legend Morono
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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