UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Buchkovich vs Nelson

1,663

CageRank

WINNER
Nelson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
87% chance Nelson
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Roy Nelson
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 7.9 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Michael Buchkovich
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 261 lbs vs 248 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Buchkovich’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roy
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Buchkovich on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Buchkovich
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Buchkovich is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Buchkovich is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Buchkovich is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nelson 9.4
fighter Buchkovich 7.9
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nelson 6.7
fighter Buchkovich 6.7
Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 May 06, 2006 vs Godsey
Round 1 Apr 01, 2006 vs Buchkovich
Round 3 Apr 17, 2004 vs Cantrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nelson 9.2
fighter Buchkovich 7.7
Fast finishes by Nelson
123 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
51 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Herman
39 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 1, 2006WEF 17
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 KOX
1,6851,642
1,6291,698
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nelson
legend Buchkovich
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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