UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Severson vs Morgan

1,478

CageRank

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
64% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Significantly stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Ryan Severson
Significantly heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Severson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Severson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Severson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Severson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Severson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Severson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Severson 7.3
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Severson 7.5
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XSUB
1,5521,716
1,5241,744
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Severson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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