UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nguyen vs Reis

1,720

CageRank

WINNER
Reis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Reis
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Ben Nguyen
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nguyen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reis is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nguyen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Nguyen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nguyen has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nguyen is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nguyen is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reis 6.3
fighter Nguyen 7.8
Great knockouts by Nguyen
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Penaloza
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Holbrook
Round 1 Mar 10, 2007 vs Wisner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reis 8.4
fighter Nguyen 6.9
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reis 7.7
fighter Nguyen 7.7
Fast finishes by Reis
692 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
200 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
129 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs George
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reis
legend Nguyen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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