UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nguyen vs Penaloza

1,720

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nguyen

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
88% chance Nguyen
WILL WIN

1,381

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Nguyen
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Greg Penaloza
From what we can tell, Ben Nguyen dominates Greg Penaloza in every way.
Nguyen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penaloza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Nguyen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nguyen has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nguyen is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Nguyen is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Penaloza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nguyen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Greg
Penaloza
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penaloza is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Penaloza is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penaloza is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nguyen 7.8
fighter Penaloza 6.6
Great knockouts by Nguyen
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Penaloza
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Holbrook
Round 1 Mar 10, 2007 vs Wisner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nguyen 6.9
fighter Penaloza 6.9
Great submissions by Penaloza
Round 2 Mar 24, 2012 vs Lankester
Round 2 May 14, 2011 vs Owen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nguyen 7.7
fighter Penaloza 6.8
Fast finishes by Nguyen
600 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Maharaj
228 seconds Apr 23, 2011 vs Whitney
120 seconds Mar 10, 2007 vs Wisner
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 SUBX
1,5461,528
1,5931,480
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nguyen
legend Penaloza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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