UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bogatyrev vs Carl

1,675

CageRank

WINNER
Carl

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Carl
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Rustam Bogatyrev
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bogatyrev’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Carl is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Bogatyrev on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rustam
Bogatyrev
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bogatyrev is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bogatyrev is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bogatyrev is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carl 6.5
fighter Bogatyrev 6.9
Great knockouts by Bogatyrev
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Gozali
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Isunov
Round 1 Nov 23, 2007 vs Satirka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carl 9.5
fighter Bogatyrev 7.2
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carl 9.2
fighter Bogatyrev 7.7
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7521,900
1,7221,930
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carl
legend Bogatyrev
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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