UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Blachowicz vs Valtonen

2,037

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Blachowicz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Blachowicz
WILL WIN

1,642

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jan Blachowicz
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.2 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Toni Valtonen
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Blachowicz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Valtonen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jan
Blachowicz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Blachowicz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Blachowicz has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Blachowicz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Valtonen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Blachowicz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Toni
Valtonen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Valtonen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Valtonen is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Valtonen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Blachowicz 7.2
fighter Valtonen 7.6
Great knockouts by Valtonen
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Salmon
Round 2 Oct 17, 2009 vs Stark
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Duyvis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Blachowicz 8.0
fighter Valtonen 6.2
Great submissions by Blachowicz
Round 2 May 21, 2011 vs Valtonen
Round 2 Dec 12, 2008 vs Perak
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs M'Pumbu

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Blachowicz 8.1
fighter Valtonen 7.4
Fast finishes by Blachowicz
383 seconds May 21, 2011 vs Valtonen
559 seconds Sep 18, 2010 vs Tabera
411 seconds Dec 12, 2008 vs Perak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 21, 2011KSW 16
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8791,805
1,9181,766
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Blachowicz
legend Valtonen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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