UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fili vs Arantes

1,873

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Fili

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
50% chance Fili
WILL WIN

1,870

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andre Fili
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Felipe Arantes
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fili on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arantes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andre
Fili
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fili Arantes
Significant Strikes70
Fili's good striking offense may be a factor against Arantes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Fili's average takedown offense is matched by Arantes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fili has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fili is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fili is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Arantes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fili’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Felipe
Arantes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Arantes Fili
Significant Strikes74
Arantes's average striking offense is matched by Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Arantes's average takedown offense is matched by Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arantes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arantes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Arantes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Fili 8.6
fighter Arantes 8.6
Great striking by Fili
55 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Fili 8.7
fighter Arantes 8.1
Great takedowns by Fili
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Fili 8.1
fighter Arantes 7.4
Great knockouts by Fili
Round 2 Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
Round 3 May 03, 2013 vs Diaz
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Bowen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Fili 7.4
fighter Arantes 6.8
Great submissions by Fili
Round 2 Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Muramoto
Round 2 Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Fili 8.1
fighter Arantes 7.6
Fast finishes by Fili
353 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
548 seconds Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
411 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 25, 2014UFC 179
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Fili
legend Arantes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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