UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fili vs Holloway

1,873

CageRank

WINNER
Holloway

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Holloway
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Max Holloway
Much longer winning streak 11 fights vs 7 fights More than 55% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 25 years vs 27 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Andre Fili
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fili’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 13:34, how much damage will he do? Holloway Fili
Significant Strikes68
Holloway's average striking offense is matched by Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 122 Significant Strikes in 13:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:34
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fili on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andre
Fili
In 13:34, how much damage will he do? Fili Holloway
Significant Strikes73
Fili's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 122 Significant Strikes in 13:34
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Fili's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fili has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fili is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fili has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Holloway 8.6
fighter Fili 8.6
Great striking by Fili
55 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Holloway 7.5
fighter Fili 8.7
Great takedowns by Fili
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holloway 7.9
fighter Fili 8.1
Great knockouts by Fili
Round 2 Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
Round 3 May 03, 2013 vs Diaz
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Bowen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holloway 6.8
fighter Fili 7.4
Great submissions by Fili
Round 2 Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Muramoto
Round 2 Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holloway 7.3
fighter Fili 8.1
Fast finishes by Fili
353 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
548 seconds Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
411 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 26, 2014UFC 172
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holloway
legend Fili
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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