UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fili vs Larsen

1,873

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Fili

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Fili
WILL WIN

1,645

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Andre Fili
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Jeremy Larsen
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fili on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larsen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andre
Fili
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Fili Larsen
Significant Strikes53
Fili's good striking offense may be a factor against Larsen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fili's average takedown offense is matched by Larsen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fili has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Fili is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Fili is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Larsen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fili’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Larsen
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Larsen Fili
Significant Strikes46
Larsen's good striking offense may be a factor against Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Larsen's average takedown offense is matched by Fili's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larsen is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larsen is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Larsen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Fili 8.6
fighter Larsen 8.6
Great striking by Fili
55 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Fili 8.7
fighter Larsen 8.5
Great takedowns by Fili
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Fili 8.1
fighter Larsen 6.9
Great knockouts by Fili
Round 2 Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
Round 3 May 03, 2013 vs Diaz
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Bowen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Fili 7.4
fighter Larsen 6.8
Great submissions by Fili
Round 2 Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Muramoto
Round 2 Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Fili 8.1
fighter Larsen 7.2
Fast finishes by Fili
353 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Larsen
548 seconds Sep 07, 2012 vs Wallace
411 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Dennis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 19, 2013UFC 166
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9191,663
1,9371,645
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Fili
legend Larsen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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