UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Valencia vs Faber

1,441

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.3 More than 35% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Jay Valencia
Heavier 145 lbs vs 134 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Valencia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Valencia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jay
Valencia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Valencia is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Valencia is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Valencia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Valencia 6.6
Great knockouts by Faber
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Wilson
Round 2 Mar 17, 2006 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Aug 19, 2004 vs Hawkins

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Valencia 6.5
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Valencia 6.6
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,4481,500
1,4051,543
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Valencia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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