UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holm vs Kaufman

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Kaufman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Kaufman
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sarah Kaufman
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Holly Holm
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Kaufman on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Holm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sarah
Kaufman
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kaufman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kaufman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kaufman has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Holm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kaufman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Holly
Holm
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holm has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holm is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Holm is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kaufman 7.9
fighter Holm 9.0
Great knockouts by Holm
Round 2 Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
Round 3 Sep 09, 2011 vs Finney
Round 2 Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kaufman 7.3
fighter Holm 7.5
Fast finishes by Holm
442 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
482 seconds Feb 28, 2013 vs Merrill
538 seconds Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kaufman
legend Holm
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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