UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holm vs Tate

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Tate

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Tate
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Miesha Tate
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Holly Holm
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 6.8 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Tate on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Holm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miesha
Tate
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tate is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tate has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Holm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Holly
Holm
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holm has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holm is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holm is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tate 6.8
fighter Holm 9.0
Great knockouts by Holm
Round 2 Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
Round 3 Sep 09, 2011 vs Finney
Round 2 Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tate 7.8
fighter Holm 6.6
Great submissions by Tate
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kedzie
Round 4 Jul 30, 2011 vs Coenen
Round 2 Mar 26, 2010 vs Frausto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tate 7.4
fighter Holm 7.5
Fast finishes by Holm
442 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
482 seconds Feb 28, 2013 vs Merrill
538 seconds Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 5, 2016UFC 196
team
VS
team
XR5 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tate
legend Holm
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 14 comments.
this site is not up to date, click on the individual fighters and you will see that the points for fights in the last few years have not been added...meaning holm before a few years ago is what is shown in the stats
Long live the king, mcgregor is the best ever https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c9a22cb296fb50e4291426004254ce1645c964f3116e4ac89eee4b180b7cc3be.jpg
who do you got in mcgregor vs diaz.
Take the word from me my brother, while I am not a hundred percent sure on this, I was on these fights: I told this site johnson would ko bader in round one and that cruz would upset tj and it happened. I then also said that mcgregor would whoop mendes and it happened and then that he would ko aldo in round one and it happened. I did say that silva would beat bisping and I only thought of this because bisping is too soft and I thout that anderson would land one good kick and end it. What actually did happen was that I did not expect that silva wouldn't go for the finish which led to anderson losing. However, that was a fight that I was %70 percent sure on but I am pretty sure about this one. And then we got mcgregor, he will ko diaz in round one. I see it going down within four minutes. I can't see him making it into five minutes. So under four. This is a fight that I am a 100% sure on and I have never been wrong when I had said something like this.
I can see where you are coming from and she is the smart bet but I saw something and I am %90 sure about this. Look at Tate, she has had so much experience and was actually good enough to stand up with ronda. She just has had too much cage experience while holly has had alot of ring experince but it is kind of useless to use it mma and thats why she has kicks. She couldn't do much to raquael becauese she was type of grueling out person in fights but doesn't have too much technique and thats why she has losses while tate has that grueling method but she is actually better then she might appear on the feet and I see a knockout in her future with holly in the third round. I do see her mabye taking a couple chances for the takedown to mess with holm within the first couple of rounds then just bruetly destory her.
Well, anything can happen, I still think Holm will win, she's just a stronger, quicker athlete, Tates only hope is to take her down, on the feet she has no chance
I had holly because I was doing a beginners mistake and that was judging her off the last fight she had and she was getting beat up but holly almost lost a split decision fight and then got a unimpressive decision but then she destoryed ronda because ronda is not better then boxing of her but tate is better wrestler then holly so I got tate winning and that's what will happen. Also, that guy that won some horse race or something with ebtting on it then won 240,000 on holm beating ronda and now he has 70,000 on tate winning so why not.
I know, pastors don't normally say stuff like what I say but I am king and that is it. Diaz goes down in one.
I don't know her, she died when I was 2 years old but I will okay it this time for you saying since you didn't know. I sadly don't have a father because he past away because of testicular cancer. He was just too stuborn, it breaks my heart. I live with heart and I breath with freedom as I see that there is no man that I wouldn't save from the shadow of death to the fury bits of hell. Death is unsual and funny in a odd way that god seeks to forbidden us. I am a pastor and live under the worshiping worth that I can bring freedom to any sivuliation that there is. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7e4302be818ab94f47052fde0803fc8cf2d54f61a68332f99a0e63589ce3c248.jpg
Starting with your mother I'm sure.
who cares about women fighting, girls are supposed to be on there knees, not there feet.
if rousey couldn't take her down when she tried then tate sure the hell won't.,
Here are a few questions I have regarding the stats that helped determine the "CageRank." Maybe some of you that really understand MMA can help me understand how these stats work and what matrix was used to gather this data. To begin with let's look at this statistic, "More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds? How do you determine a Tate advantage over a Holm advantage? I'm not agreeing or disagreeing I just don't understand. I just understand that Holly is a former Pro Boxer - she's been in battles that have taken her deep into late rounds. Does Miesha have that experience? I don't think she can have gotten that as a wrestler or boxer to the extent that Holly did in her pro boxing career. Maybe I'm not looking at this from the right angle...? Also how about this statistic; "More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap" How can we know Holly's statistical average at avoiding and escaping takedowns as the only successful takedown (or rather the only time Holly has successfully been taken down) was at UFC 193 by the former champ and Holly showed us she had an immediate answer to avoid the submission i.e. escaped the infamous "arm bar." I know Miesha was also initially able to avoid an arm bar submission in her previous fight with Ronda and was patient in the clinch, but she took a solid beating in the interim and Ronda had the advantage the whole fight. Misha was on the defense most of that fight. Is that assessment incorrect? (I also understand that we aren't just looking at the Ronda fights as comparison). When has Holly ever allowed herself to be in a position to show the fight world (and fans) how successful she would be at avoiding and escaping submissions? That seems like it would put Holly into a defensive position and Holly is (at least from what I have seen, heard and read) a very aggressive fighter in terms of coming in, attacking and getting out. I know very little about Tate - she is a wrestler , she is scrappy and a bit of a brawler; I know she has a very good ground game and brings with an arsenal of takedowns for Holm to have to defend against and she has a better striking game then Ronda. That said, I know Holly is the superior striker by far, she is good in the clinch and has really solid takedown defense not to mention the reach and height advantage and the kickboxing/boxing experience that is unmatched. So help me understand how some of these statistics add up and again what matrix was used to get these results. I'm not an expert, but it seems like comparing apples to oranges. I'm all about saying I think the fight goes to Tate and here's why or the fight goes to Holly and this is why, but to put together inconclusive data based on comparisons that aren't really fair comparisons seems a little like strange science.
Holly will destroy Tate, bigger, stronger and faster, better athlete, better coaching! These guys that think Tate will win are dreaming, Tate's only hope is to take her down with a shoot, Risking a high probability of getting kicked in the head, punched in the face or obique kicked to set up the devastating striking.
comments powered by Disqus