UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holm vs Merrill

1,820

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Holm

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Holm
WILL WIN

1,574

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Holly Holm
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 173 cm vs 163 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 144 lbs vs 130 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Katie Merrill
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Holm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Merrill’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Holly
Holm
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holm has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holm is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holm has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Merrill on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Katie
Merrill
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Merrill is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Merrill is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Merrill is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holm 9.0
fighter Merrill 7.2
Great knockouts by Holm
Round 2 Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
Round 3 Sep 09, 2011 vs Finney
Round 2 Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holm 6.6
fighter Merrill 7.6
Great submissions by Merrill
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Medeiros
Round 1 Mar 12, 2011 vs Medeiros

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holm 7.5
fighter Merrill 7.7
Fast finishes by Merrill
400 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Medeiros
111 seconds Mar 12, 2011 vs Medeiros
41 seconds Feb 26, 2010 vs Goslin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 28, 2013Bellator 91
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,6321,622
1,6811,574
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holm
legend Merrill
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus