UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Holm vs Reneau

1,820

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Holm

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Holm
WILL WIN

1,623

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Holly Holm
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Marion Reneau
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Holm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reneau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Holly
Holm
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holm has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Holm is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Holm has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Reneau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marion
Reneau
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reneau has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Reneau is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Reneau is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holm 9.0
fighter Reneau 7.9
Great knockouts by Holm
Round 2 Jul 19, 2013 vs Jones
Round 3 Sep 09, 2011 vs Finney
Round 2 Mar 04, 2011 vs Domke

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holm 6.6
fighter Reneau 7.1
Great submissions by Reneau
Round 1 Feb 22, 2015 vs Andrade
Round 1 Jul 25, 2014 vs Riordon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holm 7.5
fighter Reneau 7.9
Fast finishes by Reneau
84 seconds Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
10 seconds Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
698 seconds Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 15, 2015UFC Fight Night 71
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holm
legend Reneau
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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