UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Perez vs Rivera

1,778

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Perez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Perez
WILL WIN

1,571

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alejandro Perez
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.2 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Mario Rivera
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Perez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rivera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alejandro
Perez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Perez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Perez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Perez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rivera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Perez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mario
Rivera
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rivera is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rivera is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rivera is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Perez 7.5
fighter Rivera 6.6
Great knockouts by Perez
Round 1 May 29, 2013 vs Medina
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Rubio
Round 1 Nov 01, 2007 vs Pineda

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Perez 7.2
fighter Rivera 6.2
Great submissions by Perez
Round 2 Oct 12, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 1 May 15, 2008 vs Perez
Round 1 Jul 17, 2005 vs Rivera

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Perez 8.0
fighter Rivera 6.8
Fast finishes by Perez
375 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs da Silva
109 seconds May 29, 2013 vs Medina
351 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Rubio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Perez
legend Rivera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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