UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Park vs Ferguson

1,473

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Frank Park
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Park’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Park on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Park
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Park is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Park is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Park is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Park 7.6
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Park 6.3
Great submissions by Ferguson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Park
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Schilling

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Park 7.1
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 4, 2009LBFN 3
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5751,625
1,5321,668
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Park
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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