UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alcorn vs Holloway

1,407

CageRank

WINNER
Holloway

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Holloway
WILL WIN

1,600

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Holloway
Significantly better submission defense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 7.4 vs 6.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.4 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 237 lbs vs 230 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jeff Alcorn
From what we can tell, Sam Holloway dominates Jeff Alcorn in every way.
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alcorn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Holloway
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Holloway has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alcorn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeff
Alcorn
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alcorn has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Alcorn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Alcorn is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Holloway 7.5
fighter Alcorn 7.1
Great knockouts by Holloway
Round 3 Jan 25, 2008 vs Mora
Round 1 Apr 13, 2007 vs Whitt
Round 1 Sep 08, 2006 vs Decorah

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Holloway 7.1
fighter Alcorn 7.0
Great submissions by Holloway
Round 2 Feb 09, 2007 vs Barrentine
Round 1 Mar 24, 2006 vs Earles
Round 1 Oct 26, 2002 vs Alcorn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Holloway 7.4
fighter Alcorn 7.1
Fast finishes by Holloway
517 seconds Feb 09, 2007 vs Barrentine
184 seconds Sep 08, 2006 vs Decorah
117 seconds Mar 24, 2006 vs Earles
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 26, 2002CC 1 - Halloween Heat
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4501,500
1,4071,543
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Holloway
legend Alcorn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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