UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nagata vs Shirai

1,468

CageRank

WINNER
Shirai

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
88% chance Shirai
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yuya Shirai
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 6.9 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.1 vs 7.1 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.5 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Takahiro Nagata
Much heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Shirai on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nagata’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yuya
Shirai
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shirai is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Shirai is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Shirai has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nagata on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shirai’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takahiro
Nagata
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nagata is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nagata is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nagata has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 3, 2004Deep - 15th Impact
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,5001,629
1,4681,661
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Shirai
legend Nagata
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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