UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Volkanovski vs Nelson

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Volkanovski

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Volkanovski
WILL WIN

1,818

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Volkanovski
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 5.8 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Corey Nelson
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Volkanovski on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Volkanovski
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Volkanovski has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Volkanovski is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Volkanovski is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Volkanovski’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Corey
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Volkanovski 8.2
fighter Nelson 8.8
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 May 18, 2012 vs Pauling
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs O'Connell
Round 2 Aug 06, 2010 vs Staader

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Volkanovski 7.6
fighter Nelson 5.8
Great submissions by Volkanovski
Round 4 Dec 04, 2015 vs Yachi
Round 1 Jul 26, 2014 vs Bradney
Round 1 Feb 01, 2014 vs Atzori

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Volkanovski 7.9
fighter Nelson 7.9
Fast finishes by Nelson
600 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Rossini
33 seconds May 18, 2012 vs Pauling
332 seconds Aug 06, 2010 vs Staader
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 10, 2013AFC 5
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR2 KO
1,6021,746
1,5721,776
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Volkanovski
legend Nelson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus