UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Krylov vs Harris

1,800

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Krylov

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
63% chance Krylov
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nikita Krylov
Significantly longer winning streak 9 fights vs 3 fights 3x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 25 years vs 34 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Walt Harris
Much heavier 248 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Krylov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Harris’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nikita
Krylov
In 7:26, how much damage will he do? Krylov Harris
Significant Strikes43
Krylov's good striking offense may be a factor against Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:26
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Krylov's average takedown offense is matched by Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Krylov has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Krylov is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Krylov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Harris on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Krylov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Walt
Harris
In 7:26, how much damage will he do? Harris Krylov
Significant Strikes31
Harris's average striking offense is matched by Krylov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Harris's average takedown offense is matched by Krylov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Harris has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Harris is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Harris is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Krylov 8.7
fighter Harris 8.2
Great striking by Krylov
11 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Harris

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Krylov 8.2
fighter Harris 8.7
Great knockouts by Harris
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Robertson
Round 1 Feb 16, 2012 vs Hamilton
Round 1 May 07, 2011 vs Little

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Krylov 6.9
fighter Harris 6.5
Great submissions by Krylov
Round 1 Sep 14, 2012 vs Stepanov
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Didenko
Round 1 Aug 16, 2012 vs Artemenko

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Krylov 8.6
fighter Harris 8.5
Fast finishes by Krylov
25 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Harris
267 seconds Apr 09, 2013 vs Tampu
49 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Sarkarboev
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2014UFC on Fox 10
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,7161,674
1,7601,630
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Krylov
legend Harris
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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