UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Heflin vs Pacheco

1,546

CageRank

WINNER
Pacheco

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Pacheco
WILL WIN

1,665

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joe Pacheco
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jason Heflin
Significantly heavier 241 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Pacheco on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Heflin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Pacheco
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pacheco is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Pacheco has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Pacheco has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Heflin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pacheco’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Heflin
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Heflin is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Heflin has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Heflin is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pacheco 7.6
fighter Heflin 7.8
Great submissions by Heflin
Round 1 Apr 12, 2014 vs Hayes
Round 1 Aug 24, 2012 vs McClaney

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pacheco 7.4
fighter Heflin 7.7
Fast finishes by Heflin
228 seconds Apr 12, 2014 vs Hayes
108 seconds Aug 24, 2012 vs McClaney
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5501,573
1,5031,620
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pacheco
legend Heflin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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