UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stepanov vs Smoliakov

1,404

CageRank

WINNER
Smoliakov

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
79% chance Smoliakov
WILL WIN

1,636

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dmitry Smoliakov
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 7.6 vs 6.6 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Alexey Stepanov
From what we can tell, Dmitry Smoliakov dominates Alexey Stepanov in every way.
Smoliakov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stepanov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dmitry
Smoliakov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smoliakov has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smoliakov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smoliakov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stepanov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smoliakov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Stepanov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stepanov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Stepanov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Stepanov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smoliakov 7.9
fighter Stepanov 7.0
Great knockouts by Smoliakov
Round 1 Dec 27, 2014 vs Pecoraro
Round 1 Jul 27, 2013 vs Smirnov
Round 1 Jul 12, 2013 vs Stepanov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smoliakov 7.3
fighter Stepanov 7.0
Great submissions by Smoliakov
Round 1 Oct 19, 2014 vs Boryan
Round 1 Sep 07, 2014 vs Mensitov
Round 1 Feb 03, 2013 vs Louis Digonal

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smoliakov 8.0
fighter Stepanov 7.0
Fast finishes by Smoliakov
217 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Smirnov
56 seconds Jul 12, 2013 vs Stepanov
187 seconds Feb 03, 2013 vs Louis Digonal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2013GFC 3
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 SUB
1,4351,572
1,4041,603
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smoliakov
legend Stepanov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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